Reynold's Fantasy Wrap

Fantasy Football · Week 1

Week 1 Flex (RB/WR/TE)

Scoring

Updated

Week 1 Flex (RB/WR/TE)80 players, updated September 12, 2026
PosNote
Tier 1
1new to this listChristian McCaffreySFRBvs LAR
2new to this listPuka NacuaLARWRvs SF
3new to this listJahmyr GibbsDETRBvs NO
4new to this listJaxon Smith-NjigbaSEAWRvs NE
5new to this listBijan RobinsonATLRBvs PIT
6new to this listJa'Marr ChaseCINWRvs TB
Tier 2
7new to this listDe'Von AchaneMIARBvs LV
8new to this listAmon-Ra St. BrownDETWRvs NO
9new to this listJonathan TaylorINDRBvs BAL
10new to this listChris OlaveNOWRvs DET
11new to this listCeeDee LambDALWRvs NYG
12new to this listJames CookBUFRBvs HOU
13new to this listDavante AdamsLARWRvs SF
14new to this listKyren WilliamsLARRBvs SF
15new to this listChase BrownCINRBvs TB
Tier 3
16new to this listTrey McBrideARITEvs LAC
17new to this listSaquon BarkleyPHIRBvs WAS
18new to this listDerrick HenryBALRBvs IND
19new to this listJavonte WilliamsDALRBvs NYG
20new to this listOmarion HamptonLACRBvs ARI
21new to this listNico CollinsHOUWRvs BUF
22new to this listAshton JeantyLVRBvs MIA
23new to this listA.J. BrownNEWRvs SEA
24new to this listGeorge KittleSFTEvs LAR
25new to this listGeorge PickensDALWRvs NYG
26new to this listJustin JeffersonMINWRvs GB
27new to this listRashee RiceKCWRvs DEN
Tier 4
28new to this listD'Andre SwiftCHIRBvs CAR
29new to this listKenneth WalkerKCRBvs DEN
30new to this listGarrett WilsonNYJWRvs TEN
31new to this listZay FlowersBALWRvs IND
32new to this listMalik NabersNYGWRvs DAL
33new to this listTee HigginsCINWRvs TB
34new to this listBreece HallNYJRBvs TEN
35new to this listDeVonta SmithPHIWRvs WAS
36new to this listCam SkatteboNYGRBvs DAL
37new to this listTravis EtienneNORBvs DET
38new to this listDrake LondonATLWRvs PIT
39new to this listBucky IrvingTBRBvs CIN
Tier 5
40new to this listChristian WatsonGBWRvs MIN
41new to this listTetairoa McMillanCARWRvs CHI
42new to this listRhamondre StevensonNERBvs SEA
43new to this listLadd McConkeyLACWRvs ARI
44new to this listJaylen WarrenPITRBvs ATL
45new to this listEmeka EgbukaTBWRvs CIN
46new to this listJameson WilliamsDETWRvs NO
47new to this listTreVeyon HendersonNERBvs SEA
48new to this listTucker KraftGBTEvs MIN
49new to this listDeebo SamuelSFWRvs LAR
50new to this listColston LovelandCHITEvs CAR
51new to this listZach CharbonnetSEARBvs NE
Tier 6
52new to this listParker WashingtonJAXWRvs CLE
53new to this listJaylen WaddleDENWRvs KC
54new to this listSam LaPortaDETTEvs NO
55new to this listQuentin JohnstonLACWRvs ARI
56new to this listTyler WarrenINDTEvs BAL
57new to this listLuther BurdenCHIWRvs CAR
58new to this listWan'Dale RobinsonTENWRvs NYJ
59new to this listDavid MontgomeryHOURBvs BUF
60new to this listKenny GainwellTBRBvs CIN
61new to this listDK MetcalfPITWRvs ATL
62new to this listRico DowdlePITRBvs ATL
Tier 7
63new to this listQuinshon JudkinsCLERBvs JAX
64new to this listTre TuckerLVWRvs MIA
65new to this listMike EvansSFWRvs LAR
66new to this listHunter HenryNETEvs SEA
67new to this listJuwan JohnsonNOTEvs DET
68new to this listChris GodwinTBWRvs CIN
Tier 8
69new to this listRomeo DoubsNEWRvs SEA
70new to this listAlec PierceINDWRvs BAL
71new to this listTony PollardTENRBvs NYJ
72new to this listMichael WilsonARIWRvs LAC
73new to this listTerry McLaurinWASWRvs PHI
74new to this listHarold FanninCLETEvs JAX
75new to this listMarvin HarrisonARIWRvs LAC
76new to this listKyle PittsATLTEvs PIT
77new to this listTravis KelceKCTEvs DEN
78new to this listJosh DownsINDWRvs BAL
79new to this listRome OdunzeCHIWRvs CAR
80new to this listDJ MooreBUFWRvs HOU

Source: Model run 2026-09-12, Full PPR. Volume and efficiency from each player's 2026 games to date (nflverse), adjusted for team-mates ruled out on the official injury report, the point spread's effect on run/pass mix, forecast wind, the roof, and home field. Quarterbacks are a 50/50 blend of that model and a gradient-boosted forest trained on three seasons. Backtested on 2024 and 2025: it beats every simple baseline at all four positions. Early in a season it leans on last year, which fades within a game or two. It orders players; it does not predict their exact scores, and nobody's does. VEGAS IS IN THIS LIST: 66 of the 80 players here had a betting line, and for them the projection leans mostly on it. The model-only version is scored against this one every week on the scorecard. MODEL OUTPUT, NOT YET REVIEWED. Generated by the model and published so it can be read and argued with — Reynold has not gone through it line by line and has not overridden anything.

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