Fantasy Football· Week 8

Rest-of-season projections

Every player, every remaining week. This week's number is the weekly model's own projection, matchup and weather included; the weeks after use his rate with the week switched off, just his own volume and efficiency, weighted toward recent games and pulled toward last season. Each week is scaled by his chance of playing it, measured from five seasons of injury reports: Out and Doubtful are nothing this week, a Questionable starter plays 70% of the time, injured reserve is nothing until four games have passed and then the return rate for what is hurt, and a torn ACL is the season. At quarterback one man plays, so a fill-in gets the weeks the starter is expected to miss and no more. The further out, the rougher the number; this week's is the one to trust.

As of Oct 28, 10:17 AM ET · half-PPR, 12-team replacement · refreshes every morning with the rankings

Run a trade on these This week's rankings

This week is the weekly projection, matchup and weather in. Next 4 and Rest of season are his rate times the games he is expected to play in those weeks; a grey number means he is expected to miss some of them, and the small line says how many he plays. Value is his rest-of-season total minus what the 14th quarterback would score in the weeks he plays, 17.2 a game right now. Half-PPR, 12 teams.

#		Team
1	Josh Allen	BUF	22.7	90.8	227	22.7	22.7	22.7	22.7	22.7	22.7	22.7	22.7	22.7	22.7	10	227	55
2	Jayden Daniels	WAS	20.7	75.6	191	20.7	18.9	18.9	18.9	18.9	18.9	18.9	18.9	18.9	18.9	10	191	19
3	Jared Goff	DET	16.2	76.8	189	16.2	19.2	19.2	19.2	19.2	19.2	19.2	19.2	19.2	19.2	10	189	17
4	Joe Burrow	CIN	20.4	73.2	185	20.4	18.3	18.3	18.3	18.3	18.3	18.3	18.3	18.3	18.3	10	185	13
5	Trevor Lawrence	JAX	17.7	74.4	185	17.7	18.6	18.6	18.6	18.6	18.6	18.6	18.6	18.6	18.6	10	185	13
6	Bryce Young	CAR	16.6	68.8	171	16.6	17.2	17.2	17.2	17.2	17.2	17.2	17.2	17.2	17.2	10	171	0
7	Brock Purdy	SF	bye	76.0	171	bye	19.0	19.0	19.0	19.0	19.0	19.0	19.0	19.0	19.0	9	171	16
8	Lamar Jackson	BAL	18.7	74.8	168	18.7	18.7	18.7	18.7	18.7	bye	18.7	18.7	18.7	18.7	9	168	14
9	Drake Maye	NE	18.4	55.8	167	18.4	18.6	18.6	bye	18.6	18.6	18.6	18.6	18.6	18.6	9	167	12
10	Patrick Mahomes	KC	16.0	66.4	165	16.0	16.6	16.6	16.6	16.6	16.6	16.6	16.6	16.6	16.6	10	165	0
11	Dak Prescott	DAL	19.8	71.6	163	19.8	17.9	17.9	17.9	17.9	17.9	bye	17.9	17.9	17.9	9	163	8
12	C.J. Stroud	HOU	bye	72.4	163	bye	18.1	18.1	18.1	18.1	18.1	18.1	18.1	18.1	18.1	9	163	8
13	Caleb Williams	CHI	17.0	54.6	163	17.0	18.2	bye	18.2	18.2	18.2	18.2	18.2	18.2	18.2	9	163	8
14	Tyler Shough	NO	bye	70.0	158	bye	17.5	17.5	17.5	17.5	17.5	17.5	17.5	17.5	17.5	9	158	3
15	Matthew Stafford	LAR	17.1	52.5	157	17.1	17.5	17.5	bye	17.5	17.5	17.5	17.5	17.5	17.5	9	157	2
16	Kyler Murray	MIN	16.3	62.4	157	16.3	15.6	15.6	15.6	15.6	15.6	15.6	15.6	15.6	15.6	10	157	0
17	Jordan Love	GB	16.9	51.3	154	16.9	17.1	17.1	bye	17.1	17.1	17.1	17.1	17.1	17.1	9	154	0
18	Deshaun Watson	CLE	15.4	50.1	149	15.4	16.7	16.7	bye	16.7	16.7	16.7	16.7	16.7	16.7	9	149	0
19	Jacoby Brissett	ARI	18.3	65.2	149	18.3	16.3	16.3	16.3	16.3	16.3	bye	16.3	16.3	16.3	9	149	0
20	Bo Nix	DEN	15.5	47.1	141	15.5	15.7	bye	15.7	15.7	15.7	15.7	15.7	15.7	15.7	9	141	0
21	Justin Herbert	LAC	14.6	55.6	140	14.6	13.9	13.9	13.9	13.9	13.9	13.9	13.9	13.9	13.9	10	140	0
22	Michael Penix	ATL	14.3	45.9	137	14.3	15.3	15.3	bye	15.3	15.3	15.3	15.3	15.3	15.3	9	137	0
23	Aaron Rodgers	PIT	15.2	45.3	136	15.2	bye	15.1	15.1	15.1	15.1	15.1	15.1	15.1	15.1	9	136	0
24	Malik Willis	MIA	13.8	54.0	135	13.8	13.5	13.5	13.5	13.5	13.5	13.5	13.5	13.5	13.5	10	135	0
25	Kirk Cousins	LV	11.6	60.8	133	11.6	15.2	15.2	15.2	15.2	bye	15.2	15.2	15.2	15.2	9	133	0
26	Sam Darnold	SEA	15.3	44.1	133	15.3	14.7	14.7	bye	14.7	14.7	14.7	14.7	14.7	14.7	9	133	0
27	Baker Mayfield	TB	14.2	43.5	130	14.2	14.5	bye	14.5	14.5	14.5	14.5	14.5	14.5	14.5	9	130	0
28	Geno Smith	NYJ	11.4	56.0	123	11.4	14.0	14.0	14.0	14.0	bye	14.0	14.0	14.0	14.0	9	123	0
29	Daniel Jones	IND	11.3	48.0	107	11.3	12.0	12.0	12.0	12.0	bye	12.0	12.0	12.0	12.0	9	107	0
30	J.J. McCarthy	NYG	bye	44.0	99	bye	11.0	11.0	11.0	11.0	11.0	11.0	11.0	11.0	11.0	9	99	0
31	Cam Ward	TEN	10.8	32.7	98	10.8	bye	10.9	10.9	10.9	10.9	10.9	10.9	10.9	10.9	9	98	0
32	Tanner McKeeFills in while Jalen Hurts is out, then sits	PHI	14.0	33.52.6 of 3 games	84	14.0	12.9	bye	11.0	9.6	8.6	8.2	7.3	6.6	6.1	6.5	84	0
33	Jalen HurtsInjured reserve, 2 games missed so far; eligible in 3 weeks, then a long shot each week	PHI	—	6.40.4 of 3 games	40	—	—	bye	2.3	4.1	5.3	5.8	6.8	7.7	8.3	2.5	40	0

This week is the weekly projection, matchup and weather in. Next 4 and Rest of season are his rate times the games he is expected to play in those weeks; a grey number means he is expected to miss some of them, and the small line says how many he plays. Value is his rest-of-season total minus what the 32nd back would score in the weeks he plays, 8.3 a game right now. Half-PPR, 12 teams.

#		Team
1	Jahmyr Gibbs	DET	20.1	86.0	214	20.1	21.5	21.5	21.5	21.5	21.5	21.5	21.5	21.5	21.5	10	214	131
2	Kenneth Walker	KC	16.8	68.8	172	16.8	17.2	17.2	17.2	17.2	17.2	17.2	17.2	17.2	17.2	10	172	89
3	Bijan Robinson	ATL	16.9	54.6	163	16.9	18.2	18.2	bye	18.2	18.2	18.2	18.2	18.2	18.2	9	163	88
4	Christian McCaffrey	SF	bye	67.6	152	bye	16.9	16.9	16.9	16.9	16.9	16.9	16.9	16.9	16.9	9	152	77
5	James Cook	BUF	15.1	60.4	151	15.1	15.1	15.1	15.1	15.1	15.1	15.1	15.1	15.1	15.1	10	151	68
6	Jonathan Taylor	IND	13.9	60.8	136	13.9	15.2	15.2	15.2	15.2	bye	15.2	15.2	15.2	15.2	9	136	61
7	Chuba Hubbard	CAR	13.6	54.0	135	13.6	13.5	13.5	13.5	13.5	13.5	13.5	13.5	13.5	13.5	10	135	52
8	Derrick Henry	BAL	14.9	60.0	135	14.9	15.0	15.0	15.0	15.0	bye	15.0	15.0	15.0	15.0	9	135	60
9	Kyren Williams	LAR	17.6	42.6	131	17.6	14.2	14.2	bye	14.2	14.2	14.2	14.2	14.2	14.2	9	131	56
10	Jaylen Warren	PIT	14.8	43.5	131	14.8	bye	14.5	14.5	14.5	14.5	14.5	14.5	14.5	14.5	9	131	56
11	Javonte Williams	DAL	17.5	54.8	127	17.5	13.7	13.7	13.7	13.7	13.7	bye	13.7	13.7	13.7	9	127	52
12	D'Andre Swift	CHI	14.8	41.1	124	14.8	13.7	bye	13.7	13.7	13.7	13.7	13.7	13.7	13.7	9	124	50
13	Ashton Jeanty	LV	14.3	53.6	122	14.3	13.4	13.4	13.4	13.4	bye	13.4	13.4	13.4	13.4	9	122	47
14	Chase Brown	CIN	11.9	47.6	119	11.9	11.9	11.9	11.9	11.9	11.9	11.9	11.9	11.9	11.9	10	119	36
15	Breece Hall	NYJ	13.7	50.8	115	13.7	12.7	12.7	12.7	12.7	bye	12.7	12.7	12.7	12.7	9	115	41
16	Aaron Jones	MIN	10.2	46.4	115	10.2	11.6	11.6	11.6	11.6	11.6	11.6	11.6	11.6	11.6	10	115	32
17	Bucky Irving	TB	13.7	37.2	113	13.7	12.4	bye	12.4	12.4	12.4	12.4	12.4	12.4	12.4	9	113	38
18	Josh Jacobs	GB	13.9	36.6	112	13.9	12.2	12.2	bye	12.2	12.2	12.2	12.2	12.2	12.2	9	112	37
19	Bhayshul Tuten	JAX	12.8	43.6	111	12.8	10.9	10.9	10.9	10.9	10.9	10.9	10.9	10.9	10.9	10	111	28
20	Quinshon Judkins	CLE	11.2	32.7	98	11.2	10.9	10.9	bye	10.9	10.9	10.9	10.9	10.9	10.9	9	98	24
21	Saquon Barkley	PHI	7.1	33.6	97	7.1	11.2	bye	11.2	11.2	11.2	11.2	11.2	11.2	11.2	9	97	22
22	Jeremiyah Love	ARI	10.1	42.8	96	10.1	10.7	10.7	10.7	10.7	10.7	bye	10.7	10.7	10.7	9	96	21
23	Rhamondre Stevenson	NE	11.6	31.2	95	11.6	10.4	10.4	bye	10.4	10.4	10.4	10.4	10.4	10.4	9	95	20
24	Cam Skattebo	NYG	bye	42.0	95	bye	10.5	10.5	10.5	10.5	10.5	10.5	10.5	10.5	10.5	9	95	20
25	Braelon Allen	NYJ	10.8	40.8	92	10.8	10.2	10.2	10.2	10.2	bye	10.2	10.2	10.2	10.2	9	92	18
26	Tony Pollard	TEN	9.7	30.6	91	9.7	bye	10.2	10.2	10.2	10.2	10.2	10.2	10.2	10.2	9	91	17
27	Omarion Hampton	LAC	9.0	35.2	88	9.0	8.8	8.8	8.8	8.8	8.8	8.8	8.8	8.8	8.8	10	88	5
28	Ollie Gordon	MIA	10.6	33.2	85	10.6	8.3	8.3	8.3	8.3	8.3	8.3	8.3	8.3	8.3	10	85	2
29	Emanuel Wilson	SEA	9.5	27.0	82	9.5	9.0	9.0	bye	9.0	9.0	9.0	9.0	9.0	9.0	9	82	7
30	Jordan Mason	MIN	8.5	31.6	80	8.5	7.9	7.9	7.9	7.9	7.9	7.9	7.9	7.9	7.9	10	80	0
31	Kyle Monangai	CHI	12.0	24.9	78	12.0	8.3	bye	8.3	8.3	8.3	8.3	8.3	8.3	8.3	9	78	4
32	Rachaad White	WAS	8.4	30.0	76	8.4	7.5	7.5	7.5	7.5	7.5	7.5	7.5	7.5	7.5	10	76	0
33	David Montgomery	HOU	bye	33.6	76	bye	8.4	8.4	8.4	8.4	8.4	8.4	8.4	8.4	8.4	9	76	1
34	Alvin Kamara	NO	bye	33.2	75	bye	8.3	8.3	8.3	8.3	8.3	8.3	8.3	8.3	8.3	9	75	0
35	RJ Harvey	DEN	8.4	24.3	73	8.4	8.1	bye	8.1	8.1	8.1	8.1	8.1	8.1	8.1	9	73	0
36	Woody Marks	HOU	bye	32.0	72	bye	8.0	8.0	8.0	8.0	8.0	8.0	8.0	8.0	8.0	9	72	0
37	Audric Estimé	CLE	7.4	23.1	69	7.4	7.7	7.7	bye	7.7	7.7	7.7	7.7	7.7	7.7	9	69	0
38	Blake Corum	LAR	9.3	21.9	68	9.3	7.3	7.3	bye	7.3	7.3	7.3	7.3	7.3	7.3	9	68	0
39	J.K. Dobbins	DEN	5.4	23.1	67	5.4	7.7	bye	7.7	7.7	7.7	7.7	7.7	7.7	7.7	9	67	0
40	Rico Dowdle	PIT	7.8	22.2	67	7.8	bye	7.4	7.4	7.4	7.4	7.4	7.4	7.4	7.4	9	67	0
41	Tyler Allgeier	ARI	6.7	26.4	60	6.7	6.6	6.6	6.6	6.6	6.6	bye	6.6	6.6	6.6	9	60	0
42	TreVeyon Henderson	NE	5.1	20.4	59	5.1	6.8	6.8	bye	6.8	6.8	6.8	6.8	6.8	6.8	9	59	0
43	Pierre Strong	GB	9.4	17.7	57	9.4	5.9	5.9	bye	5.9	5.9	5.9	5.9	5.9	5.9	9	57	0
44	Dameon Pierce	PHI	5.0	19.2	56	5.0	6.4	bye	6.4	6.4	6.4	6.4	6.4	6.4	6.4	9	56	0
45	Devin Singletary	NYG	bye	24.4	55	bye	6.1	6.1	6.1	6.1	6.1	6.1	6.1	6.1	6.1	9	55	0
46	MarShawn Lloyd	GB	5.4	18.3	54	5.4	6.1	6.1	bye	6.1	6.1	6.1	6.1	6.1	6.1	9	54	0
47	Bam Knight	ARI	6.4	22.8	52	6.4	5.7	5.7	5.7	5.7	5.7	bye	5.7	5.7	5.7	9	52	0
48	Kimani Vidal	LAC	5.9	20.4	52	5.9	5.1	5.1	5.1	5.1	5.1	5.1	5.1	5.1	5.1	10	52	0
49	Brian Robinson	ATL	6.2	16.5	50	6.2	5.5	5.5	bye	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	9	50	0
50	Kenny Gainwell	TB	6.6	15.6	48	6.6	5.2	bye	5.2	5.2	5.2	5.2	5.2	5.2	5.2	9	48	0
51	Keaton Mitchell	LAC	4.9	19.2	48	4.9	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	10	48	0
52	Chris Rodriguez	JAX	5.1	18.4	47	5.1	4.6	4.6	4.6	4.6	4.6	4.6	4.6	4.6	4.6	10	47	0
53	George Holani	SEA	4.3	15.6	46	4.3	5.2	5.2	bye	5.2	5.2	5.2	5.2	5.2	5.2	9	46	0
54	Kendre Miller	NO	bye	20.4	46	bye	5.1	5.1	5.1	5.1	5.1	5.1	5.1	5.1	5.1	9	46	0
55	Jonah Coleman	DEN	5.8	15.0	46	5.8	5.0	bye	5.0	5.0	5.0	5.0	5.0	5.0	5.0	9	46	0
56	De'Von AchaneInjured reserve, 3 games missed so far; eligible next week, then a long shot each week	MIA	—	13.61.1 of 4 games	45	—	1.8	3.2	4.1	4.5	5.3	6.0	6.5	6.8	7.0	3.7	45	15
57	Samaje Perine	CIN	5.6	17.6	45	5.6	4.4	4.4	4.4	4.4	4.4	4.4	4.4	4.4	4.4	10	45	0
58	Elijah Mitchell	PHI	4.7	14.7	44	4.7	4.9	bye	4.9	4.9	4.9	4.9	4.9	4.9	4.9	9	44	0
59	Tyrone Tracy	NYG	bye	19.2	43	bye	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	9	43	0
60	Justice Hill	BAL	4.4	18.0	40	4.4	4.5	4.5	4.5	4.5	bye	4.5	4.5	4.5	4.5	9	40	0
61	Ty Johnson	BUF	4.2	15.2	38	4.2	3.8	3.8	3.8	3.8	3.8	3.8	3.8	3.8	3.8	10	38	0
62	Michael Carter	TEN	3.8	12.9	38	3.8	bye	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	9	38	0
63	Tyjae Spears	TEN	3.7	12.9	38	3.7	bye	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	9	38	0
64	Roschon Johnson	CHI	4.3	12.6	38	4.3	4.2	bye	4.2	4.2	4.2	4.2	4.2	4.2	4.2	9	38	0
65	Jaleel McLaughlin	CLE	2.8	12.9	37	2.8	4.3	4.3	bye	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	9	37	0
66	Kaelon Black	SF	bye	16.4	37	bye	4.1	4.1	4.1	4.1	4.1	4.1	4.1	4.1	4.1	9	37	0
67	Emmett Johnson	KC	3.4	14.8	37	3.4	3.7	3.7	3.7	3.7	3.7	3.7	3.7	3.7	3.7	10	37	0
68	Jeremy McNichols	WAS	4.0	14.4	36	4.0	3.6	3.6	3.6	3.6	3.6	3.6	3.6	3.6	3.6	10	36	0
69	Dylan Sampson	CLE	3.9	12.0	36	3.9	4.0	4.0	bye	4.0	4.0	4.0	4.0	4.0	4.0	9	36	0
70	Jawhar Jordan	HOU	bye	15.2	34	bye	3.8	3.8	3.8	3.8	3.8	3.8	3.8	3.8	3.8	9	34	0
71	Kaleb Johnson	GB	1.6	12.0	34	1.6	4.0	4.0	bye	4.0	4.0	4.0	4.0	4.0	4.0	9	34	0
72	Travis EtienneInjured reserve, 4 games missed so far; eligible next week, then a long shot each week	NO	bye	9.81.1 of 4 games	33	bye	1.3	2.3	3.0	3.2	3.8	4.3	4.7	4.9	5.0	3.7	33	2
73	Jaylen Wright	MIA	2.6	13.2	32	2.6	3.3	3.3	3.3	3.3	3.3	3.3	3.3	3.3	3.3	10	32	0
74	Austin Ekeler	WAS	3.1	12.8	32	3.1	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	10	32	0
75	Mike Washington	LV	4.5	13.6	32	4.5	3.4	3.4	3.4	3.4	bye	3.4	3.4	3.4	3.4	9	32	0
76	Sean Tucker	TB	5.9	9.6	31	5.9	3.2	bye	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	9	31	0
77	Jadarian PriceInjured reserve, 4 games missed so far; eligible this week, then a long shot each week	SEA	1.215%	7.81.0 of 3 games	30	1.2	2.1	2.7	bye	3.0	3.5	4.0	4.3	4.5	4.7	3.7	30	0
78	Isaiah Davis	NYJ	2.9	11.2	25	2.9	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.8	bye	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.8	9	25	0
79	Seth McGowan	IND	2.9	10.8	24	2.9	2.7	2.7	2.7	2.7	bye	2.7	2.7	2.7	2.7	9	24	0
80	Corey Kiner	NE	2.9	7.8	24	2.9	2.6	2.6	bye	2.6	2.6	2.6	2.6	2.6	2.6	9	24	0
81	CJ Donaldson	NO	bye	9.2	21	bye	2.3	2.3	2.3	2.3	2.3	2.3	2.3	2.3	2.3	9	21	0
82	AJ Dillon	CAR	2.0	8.0	20	2.0	2.0	2.0	2.0	2.0	2.0	2.0	2.0	2.0	2.0	10	20	0
83	Jacory Croskey-MerrittInjured reserve, 1 game missed so far; eligible in 3 weeks, then a long shot each week	WAS	—	3.10.4 of 4 games	20	—	—	—	1.1	2.0	2.6	2.8	3.4	3.8	4.1	2.5	20	0
84	Nicholas Singleton	TEN	2.0	6.6	20	2.0	bye	2.2	2.2	2.2	2.2	2.2	2.2	2.2	2.2	9	20	0
85	Jonathon BrooksInjured reserve, 4 games missed so far; eligible this week, then a long shot each week	CAR	0.615%	5.81.4 of 4 games	18	0.6	1.1	1.4	1.5	1.8	2.0	2.2	2.3	2.4	2.8	4.3	18	0
86	Trevor Etienne	CAR	1.8	7.2	18	1.8	1.8	1.8	1.8	1.8	1.8	1.8	1.8	1.8	1.8	10	18	0
87	Kaytron Allen	MIA	2.4	6.8	18	2.4	1.7	1.7	1.7	1.7	1.7	1.7	1.7	1.7	1.7	10	18	0
88	Ray Davis	BUF	1.7	6.8	17	1.7	1.7	1.7	1.7	1.7	1.7	1.7	1.7	1.7	1.7	10	17	0
89	Velus Jones	SEA	1.9	5.4	16	1.9	1.8	1.8	bye	1.8	1.8	1.8	1.8	1.8	1.8	9	16	0
90	Ameer Abdullah	JAX	1.7	6.4	16	1.7	1.6	1.6	1.6	1.6	1.6	1.6	1.6	1.6	1.6	10	16	0

This week is the weekly projection, matchup and weather in. Next 4 and Rest of season are his rate times the games he is expected to play in those weeks; a grey number means he is expected to miss some of them, and the small line says how many he plays. Value is his rest-of-season total minus what the 44th receiver would score in the weeks he plays, 7.7 a game right now. Half-PPR, 12 teams.

#		Team
1	Jaxon Smith-Njigba	SEA	18.4	54.0	162	18.4	18.0	18.0	bye	18.0	18.0	18.0	18.0	18.0	18.0	9	162	93
2	Amon-Ra St. Brown	DET	14.3	62.0	154	14.3	15.5	15.5	15.5	15.5	15.5	15.5	15.5	15.5	15.5	10	154	77
3	Puka Nacua	LAR	18.1	50.1	152	18.1	16.7	16.7	bye	16.7	16.7	16.7	16.7	16.7	16.7	9	152	82
4	Ja'Marr Chase	CIN	13.7	56.0	140	13.7	14.0	14.0	14.0	14.0	14.0	14.0	14.0	14.0	14.0	10	140	63
5	CeeDee Lamb	DAL	17.1	60.4	138	17.1	15.1	15.1	15.1	15.1	15.1	bye	15.1	15.1	15.1	9	138	69
6	Parker Washington	JAX	11.4	50.0	124	11.4	12.5	12.5	12.5	12.5	12.5	12.5	12.5	12.5	12.5	10	124	47
7	Drake London	ATL	13.1	40.8	122	13.1	13.6	13.6	bye	13.6	13.6	13.6	13.6	13.6	13.6	9	122	53
8	Tetairoa McMillan	CAR	12.1	48.4	121	12.1	12.1	12.1	12.1	12.1	12.1	12.1	12.1	12.1	12.1	10	121	44
9	Justin Jefferson	MIN	12.2	47.6	119	12.2	11.9	11.9	11.9	11.9	11.9	11.9	11.9	11.9	11.9	10	119	42
10	Tee Higgins	CIN	12.7	47.2	119	12.7	11.8	11.8	11.8	11.8	11.8	11.8	11.8	11.8	11.8	10	119	42
11	Chris Olave	NO	bye	52.8	119	bye	13.2	13.2	13.2	13.2	13.2	13.2	13.2	13.2	13.2	9	119	49
12	Zay Flowers	BAL	13.9	52.0	118	13.9	13.0	13.0	13.0	13.0	bye	13.0	13.0	13.0	13.0	9	118	49
13	Christian Watson	GB	12.3	38.7	116	12.3	12.9	12.9	bye	12.9	12.9	12.9	12.9	12.9	12.9	9	116	46
14	George Pickens	DAL	13.6	47.6	109	13.6	11.9	11.9	11.9	11.9	11.9	bye	11.9	11.9	11.9	9	109	40
15	Garrett Wilson	NYJ	11.0	48.4	108	11.0	12.1	12.1	12.1	12.1	bye	12.1	12.1	12.1	12.1	9	108	38
16	DeVonta Smith	PHI	13.4	35.4	108	13.4	11.8	bye	11.8	11.8	11.8	11.8	11.8	11.8	11.8	9	108	39
17	Jalen Coker	CAR	10.6	42.8	107	10.6	10.7	10.7	10.7	10.7	10.7	10.7	10.7	10.7	10.7	10	107	30
18	Rashee Rice	KC	11.5	41.6	105	11.5	10.4	10.4	10.4	10.4	10.4	10.4	10.4	10.4	10.4	10	105	28
19	Malik Nabers	NYG	bye	46.4	104	bye	11.6	11.6	11.6	11.6	11.6	11.6	11.6	11.6	11.6	9	104	35
20	Nico Collins	HOU	bye	46.0	104	bye	11.5	11.5	11.5	11.5	11.5	11.5	11.5	11.5	11.5	9	104	34
21	Jameson Williams	DET	9.5	39.6	99	9.5	9.9	9.9	9.9	9.9	9.9	9.9	9.9	9.9	9.9	10	99	22
22	Michael Wilson	ARI	11.4	41.6	95	11.4	10.4	10.4	10.4	10.4	10.4	bye	10.4	10.4	10.4	9	95	25
23	Mike Evans	SF	bye	40.8	92	bye	10.2	10.2	10.2	10.2	10.2	10.2	10.2	10.2	10.2	9	92	22
24	Stefon Diggs	WAS	12.1	35.2	91	12.1	8.8	8.8	8.8	8.8	8.8	8.8	8.8	8.8	8.8	10	91	14
25	Matthew GoldenQuestionableQuestionable, shoulder; counted at 70% this week	GB	7.470%	29.92.7 of 3 games	89	7.4	9.7	10.0	bye	10.2	10.3	10.4	10.4	10.5	10.5	8.1	89	27
26	DJ Moore	BUF	9.4	34.8	88	9.4	8.7	8.7	8.7	8.7	8.7	8.7	8.7	8.7	8.7	10	88	11
27	A.J. Brown	NE	9.8	29.1	87	9.8	9.7	9.7	bye	9.7	9.7	9.7	9.7	9.7	9.7	9	87	18
28	DK Metcalf	PIT	10.8	28.2	86	10.8	bye	9.4	9.4	9.4	9.4	9.4	9.4	9.4	9.4	9	86	17
29	Luther Burden	CHI	9.4	28.5	85	9.4	9.5	bye	9.5	9.5	9.5	9.5	9.5	9.5	9.5	9	85	16
30	Jaylen Waddle	DEN	8.2	28.8	85	8.2	9.6	bye	9.6	9.6	9.6	9.6	9.6	9.6	9.6	9	85	16
31	Denzel Boston	CLE	9.4	26.4	80	9.4	8.8	8.8	bye	8.8	8.8	8.8	8.8	8.8	8.8	9	80	11
32	Terry McLaurin	WAS	8.6	31.6	80	8.6	7.9	7.9	7.9	7.9	7.9	7.9	7.9	7.9	7.9	10	80	3
33	Carnell Tate	TEN	9.4	26.1	79	9.4	bye	8.7	8.7	8.7	8.7	8.7	8.7	8.7	8.7	9	79	10
34	Jordan Addison	MIN	7.5	31.6	79	7.5	7.9	7.9	7.9	7.9	7.9	7.9	7.9	7.9	7.9	10	79	2
35	Emeka Egbuka	TB	10.1	25.5	78	10.1	8.5	bye	8.5	8.5	8.5	8.5	8.5	8.5	8.5	9	78	9
36	Tre Tucker	LV	10.6	33.6	78	10.6	8.4	8.4	8.4	8.4	bye	8.4	8.4	8.4	8.4	9	78	9
37	Devaughn Vele	NO	bye	34.4	77	bye	8.6	8.6	8.6	8.6	8.6	8.6	8.6	8.6	8.6	9	77	8
38	Khalil Shakir	BUF	7.7	30.8	77	7.7	7.7	7.7	7.7	7.7	7.7	7.7	7.7	7.7	7.7	10	77	0
39	Malik Washington	MIA	7.5	30.8	77	7.5	7.7	7.7	7.7	7.7	7.7	7.7	7.7	7.7	7.7	10	77	0
40	Xavier Worthy	KC	6.7	30.8	76	6.7	7.7	7.7	7.7	7.7	7.7	7.7	7.7	7.7	7.7	10	76	0
41	Ladd McConkey	LAC	5.7	31.2	76	5.7	7.8	7.8	7.8	7.8	7.8	7.8	7.8	7.8	7.8	10	76	0
42	Deebo Samuel	SF	bye	33.2	75	bye	8.3	8.3	8.3	8.3	8.3	8.3	8.3	8.3	8.3	9	75	5
43	Jakobi Meyers	JAX	7.7	28.8	73	7.7	7.2	7.2	7.2	7.2	7.2	7.2	7.2	7.2	7.2	10	73	0
44	KC Concepcion	CLE	9.0	23.7	72	9.0	7.9	7.9	bye	7.9	7.9	7.9	7.9	7.9	7.9	9	72	3
45	Josh Downs	IND	6.3	32.8	72	6.3	8.2	8.2	8.2	8.2	bye	8.2	8.2	8.2	8.2	9	72	3
46	Quentin Johnston	LAC	7.4	26.4	67	7.4	6.6	6.6	6.6	6.6	6.6	6.6	6.6	6.6	6.6	10	67	0
47	Keenan Allen	IND	7.0	29.6	66	7.0	7.4	7.4	7.4	7.4	bye	7.4	7.4	7.4	7.4	9	66	0
48	Caleb Douglas	MIA	6.8	26.0	65	6.8	6.5	6.5	6.5	6.5	6.5	6.5	6.5	6.5	6.5	10	65	0
49	Rome Odunze	CHI	7.7	21.3	65	7.7	7.1	bye	7.1	7.1	7.1	7.1	7.1	7.1	7.1	9	65	0
50	Tre Harris	LAC	5.7	26.0	64	5.7	6.5	6.5	6.5	6.5	6.5	6.5	6.5	6.5	6.5	10	64	0
51	Germie Bernard	PIT	8.8	20.4	63	8.8	bye	6.8	6.8	6.8	6.8	6.8	6.8	6.8	6.8	9	63	0
52	Dontayvion Wicks	PHI	6.9	21.0	63	6.9	7.0	bye	7.0	7.0	7.0	7.0	7.0	7.0	7.0	9	63	0
53	Ryan Flournoy	DAL	8.0	27.2	62	8.0	6.8	6.8	6.8	6.8	6.8	bye	6.8	6.8	6.8	9	62	0
54	Wan'Dale Robinson	TEN	7.0	20.7	62	7.0	bye	6.9	6.9	6.9	6.9	6.9	6.9	6.9	6.9	9	62	0
55	Courtland Sutton	DEN	6.6	20.7	62	6.6	6.9	bye	6.9	6.9	6.9	6.9	6.9	6.9	6.9	9	62	0
56	Keon Coleman	BUF	6.4	24.4	61	6.4	6.1	6.1	6.1	6.1	6.1	6.1	6.1	6.1	6.1	10	61	0
57	Reggie Virgil	ARI	6.2	26.4	59	6.2	6.6	6.6	6.6	6.6	6.6	bye	6.6	6.6	6.6	9	59	0
58	Chris Godwin	TB	6.2	19.2	57	6.2	6.4	bye	6.4	6.4	6.4	6.4	6.4	6.4	6.4	9	57	0
59	Makai Lemon	PHI	6.7	18.0	55	6.7	6.0	bye	6.0	6.0	6.0	6.0	6.0	6.0	6.0	9	55	0
60	Jaylin Noel	HOU	bye	24.0	54	bye	6.0	6.0	6.0	6.0	6.0	6.0	6.0	6.0	6.0	9	54	0
61	Kendrick Bourne	ARI	6.8	23.6	54	6.8	5.9	5.9	5.9	5.9	5.9	bye	5.9	5.9	5.9	9	54	0
62	DeMario Douglas	NE	6.0	17.4	52	6.0	5.8	5.8	bye	5.8	5.8	5.8	5.8	5.8	5.8	9	52	0
63	Marvin Harrison	HOU	bye	23.2	52	bye	5.8	5.8	5.8	5.8	5.8	5.8	5.8	5.8	5.8	9	52	0
64	Omar Cooper	NYJ	7.8	22.0	52	7.8	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	bye	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	9	52	0
65	KeAndre Lambert-Smith	LAC	5.7	20.4	52	5.7	5.1	5.1	5.1	5.1	5.1	5.1	5.1	5.1	5.1	10	52	0
66	Treylon Burks	WAS	5.3	20.4	51	5.3	5.1	5.1	5.1	5.1	5.1	5.1	5.1	5.1	5.1	10	51	0
67	Darius Cooper	PHI	4.1	17.1	50	4.1	5.7	bye	5.7	5.7	5.7	5.7	5.7	5.7	5.7	9	50	0
68	Marquise Brown	PHI	5.3	16.5	49	5.3	5.5	bye	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	9	49	0
69	Kalif Raymond	CHI	4.7	16.5	49	4.7	5.5	bye	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	9	49	0
70	Isaac TeSlaa	DET	4.4	19.6	48	4.4	4.9	4.9	4.9	4.9	4.9	4.9	4.9	4.9	4.9	10	48	0
71	Antonio Williams	WAS	6.0	18.8	48	6.0	4.7	4.7	4.7	4.7	4.7	4.7	4.7	4.7	4.7	10	48	0
72	Adonai Mitchell	NYJ	6.0	20.8	48	6.0	5.2	5.2	5.2	5.2	bye	5.2	5.2	5.2	5.2	9	48	0
73	Rashid Shaheed	SEA	5.8	15.6	47	5.8	5.2	5.2	bye	5.2	5.2	5.2	5.2	5.2	5.2	9	47	0
74	Cooper Kupp	SEA	5.5	15.0	46	5.5	5.0	5.0	bye	5.0	5.0	5.0	5.0	5.0	5.0	9	46	0
75	Rashod Bateman	BAL	5.1	20.0	45	5.1	5.0	5.0	5.0	5.0	bye	5.0	5.0	5.0	5.0	9	45	0
76	Efton Chism	NE	3.9	15.3	45	3.9	5.1	5.1	bye	5.1	5.1	5.1	5.1	5.1	5.1	9	45	0
77	Cody White	LV	6.4	18.8	44	6.4	4.7	4.7	4.7	4.7	bye	4.7	4.7	4.7	4.7	9	44	0
78	Dohnte Meyers	CIN	4.6	17.2	43	4.6	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	10	43	0
79	Xavier Hutchinson	HOU	bye	19.2	43	bye	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	9	43	0
80	Malachi Fields	NYG	bye	19.2	43	bye	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	9	43	0
81	Kayshon Boutte	HOU	bye	18.8	42	bye	4.7	4.7	4.7	4.7	4.7	4.7	4.7	4.7	4.7	9	42	0
82	Ja'Kobi Lane	BAL	5.5	18.4	42	5.5	4.6	4.6	4.6	4.6	bye	4.6	4.6	4.6	4.6	9	42	0
83	Chris Bell	MIA	3.4	17.2	42	3.4	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	4.3	10	42	0
84	Ted Hurst	TB	4.3	14.1	42	4.3	4.7	bye	4.7	4.7	4.7	4.7	4.7	4.7	4.7	9	42	0
85	Savion Williams	GB	3.9	14.1	42	3.9	4.7	4.7	bye	4.7	4.7	4.7	4.7	4.7	4.7	9	42	0
86	Jalen Nailor	LV	4.7	18.0	41	4.7	4.5	4.5	4.5	4.5	bye	4.5	4.5	4.5	4.5	9	41	0
87	Mitchell Tinsley	CIN	4.2	16.0	40	4.2	4.0	4.0	4.0	4.0	4.0	4.0	4.0	4.0	4.0	10	40	0
88	Jalen Royals	KC	2.9	16.4	40	2.9	4.1	4.1	4.1	4.1	4.1	4.1	4.1	4.1	4.1	10	40	0
89	Isaiah Williams	NYJ	2.8	18.4	40	2.8	4.6	4.6	4.6	4.6	bye	4.6	4.6	4.6	4.6	9	40	0
90	Brenen Thompson	LAC	3.6	16.0	40	3.6	4.0	4.0	4.0	4.0	4.0	4.0	4.0	4.0	4.0	10	40	0
91	Jahan Dotson	ATL	4.4	13.2	40	4.4	4.4	4.4	bye	4.4	4.4	4.4	4.4	4.4	4.4	9	40	0
92	Jordan Watkins	SF	bye	17.6	40	bye	4.4	4.4	4.4	4.4	4.4	4.4	4.4	4.4	4.4	9	40	0
93	Josh Palmer	BUF	4.0	15.6	39	4.0	3.9	3.9	3.9	3.9	3.9	3.9	3.9	3.9	3.9	10	39	0
94	Brian Thomas	JAX	3.7	15.6	39	3.7	3.9	3.9	3.9	3.9	3.9	3.9	3.9	3.9	3.9	10	39	0
95	Laquon Treadwell	IND	4.3	16.8	38	4.3	4.2	4.2	4.2	4.2	bye	4.2	4.2	4.2	4.2	9	38	0
96	Brycen Tremayne	CAR	2.2	14.4	35	2.2	3.6	3.6	3.6	3.6	3.6	3.6	3.6	3.6	3.6	10	35	0
97	Tez Johnson	TB	4.1	11.4	35	4.1	3.8	bye	3.8	3.8	3.8	3.8	3.8	3.8	3.8	9	35	0
98	Dyami Brown	WAS	2.9	14.0	34	2.9	3.5	3.5	3.5	3.5	3.5	3.5	3.5	3.5	3.5	10	34	0
99	Brandin Cooks	SF	bye	15.2	34	bye	3.8	3.8	3.8	3.8	3.8	3.8	3.8	3.8	3.8	9	34	0
100	Jauan Jennings	MIN	3.2	13.6	34	3.2	3.4	3.4	3.4	3.4	3.4	3.4	3.4	3.4	3.4	10	34	0
101	Kevin Coleman	MIA	3.1	13.6	34	3.1	3.4	3.4	3.4	3.4	3.4	3.4	3.4	3.4	3.4	10	34	0
102	Charlie Jones	NYG	bye	14.8	33	bye	3.7	3.7	3.7	3.7	3.7	3.7	3.7	3.7	3.7	9	33	0
103	Jerry Jeudy	CLE	4.3	10.8	33	4.3	3.6	3.6	bye	3.6	3.6	3.6	3.6	3.6	3.6	9	33	0
104	Tim Patrick	NYJ	3.4	14.8	33	3.4	3.7	3.7	3.7	3.7	bye	3.7	3.7	3.7	3.7	9	33	0
105	Tory Horton	SEA	5.8	9.9	32	5.8	3.3	3.3	bye	3.3	3.3	3.3	3.3	3.3	3.3	9	32	0
106	Elic Ayomanor	TEN	4.1	10.5	32	4.1	bye	3.5	3.5	3.5	3.5	3.5	3.5	3.5	3.5	9	32	0
107	John Metchie	CAR	3.3	12.8	32	3.3	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	10	32	0
108	Josh Cameron	JAX	3.0	12.8	32	3.0	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	10	32	0
109	Jared Wayne	MIA	2.6	12.8	31	2.6	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	10	31	0
110	Chris Moore	BAL	3.0	14.0	31	3.0	3.5	3.5	3.5	3.5	bye	3.5	3.5	3.5	3.5	9	31	0
111	Darnell Mooney	NYG	bye	13.6	31	bye	3.4	3.4	3.4	3.4	3.4	3.4	3.4	3.4	3.4	9	31	0
112	Isaiah Bond	CLE	3.7	9.6	29	3.7	3.2	3.2	bye	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	9	29	0
113	Bryce Lance	NO	bye	12.8	29	bye	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	9	29	0
114	Kevin Austin	NO	bye	12.8	29	bye	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	9	29	0
115	Theo Wease	LAC	2.9	11.2	28	2.9	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.8	10	28	0
116	Marvin Mims	DEN	3.2	9.3	28	3.2	3.1	bye	3.1	3.1	3.1	3.1	3.1	3.1	3.1	9	28	0
117	Konata Mumpfield	LAR	3.0	9.0	27	3.0	3.0	3.0	bye	3.0	3.0	3.0	3.0	3.0	3.0	9	27	0
118	Devontez Walker	BAL	2.6	12.0	27	2.6	3.0	3.0	3.0	3.0	bye	3.0	3.0	3.0	3.0	9	27	0
119	Alec PierceInjured reserve, 5 games missed so far; eligible this week, then a long shot each week	IND	1.013%	9.11.2 of 4 games	25	1.0	1.7	1.9	2.5	3.0	bye	3.3	3.6	3.7	4.6	3.4	25	0
120	Ben Skowronek	PIT	2.8	8.4	25	2.8	bye	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.8	9	25	0

This week is the weekly projection, matchup and weather in. Next 4 and Rest of season are his rate times the games he is expected to play in those weeks; a grey number means he is expected to miss some of them, and the small line says how many he plays. Value is his rest-of-season total minus what the 16th tight end would score in the weeks he plays, 7.1 a game right now. Half-PPR, 12 teams.

#		Team
1	Trey McBride	ARI	14.3	54.0	122	14.3	13.5	13.5	13.5	13.5	13.5	bye	13.5	13.5	13.5	9	122	58
2	Brock Bowers	LV	13.7	53.2	120	13.7	13.3	13.3	13.3	13.3	bye	13.3	13.3	13.3	13.3	9	120	56
3	George Kittle	SF	bye	46.0	104	bye	11.5	11.5	11.5	11.5	11.5	11.5	11.5	11.5	11.5	9	104	40
4	Sam LaPorta	DET	9.1	39.2	97	9.1	9.8	9.8	9.8	9.8	9.8	9.8	9.8	9.8	9.8	10	97	26
5	Travis Kelce	KC	9.5	37.6	94	9.5	9.4	9.4	9.4	9.4	9.4	9.4	9.4	9.4	9.4	10	94	23
6	Dalton Kincaid	BUF	8.5	37.6	93	8.5	9.4	9.4	9.4	9.4	9.4	9.4	9.4	9.4	9.4	10	93	22
7	Tucker Kraft	GB	9.7	28.8	86	9.7	9.6	9.6	bye	9.6	9.6	9.6	9.6	9.6	9.6	9	86	23
8	Isaiah Likely	NYG	bye	38.0	86	bye	9.5	9.5	9.5	9.5	9.5	9.5	9.5	9.5	9.5	9	86	22
9	Dallas Goedert	PHI	12.7	25.8	81	12.7	8.6	bye	8.6	8.6	8.6	8.6	8.6	8.6	8.6	9	81	18
10	Tyler Warren	IND	8.5	35.6	80	8.5	8.9	8.9	8.9	8.9	bye	8.9	8.9	8.9	8.9	9	80	16
11	Brenton Strange	JAX	7.7	32.0	80	7.7	8.0	8.0	8.0	8.0	8.0	8.0	8.0	8.0	8.0	10	80	9
12	T.J. Hockenson	MIN	8.6	30.4	77	8.6	7.6	7.6	7.6	7.6	7.6	7.6	7.6	7.6	7.6	10	77	6
13	Colston Loveland	CHI	8.2	23.7	71	8.2	7.9	bye	7.9	7.9	7.9	7.9	7.9	7.9	7.9	9	71	8
14	Hunter Henry	NE	8.2	22.2	67	8.2	7.4	7.4	bye	7.4	7.4	7.4	7.4	7.4	7.4	9	67	4
15	Harold Fannin	CLE	7.4	22.2	67	7.4	7.4	7.4	bye	7.4	7.4	7.4	7.4	7.4	7.4	9	67	3
16	Dalton Schultz	HOU	bye	28.4	64	bye	7.1	7.1	7.1	7.1	7.1	7.1	7.1	7.1	7.1	9	64	0
17	Juwan Johnson	NO	bye	27.2	61	bye	6.8	6.8	6.8	6.8	6.8	6.8	6.8	6.8	6.8	9	61	0
18	Mark Andrews	BAL	6.4	27.2	61	6.4	6.8	6.8	6.8	6.8	bye	6.8	6.8	6.8	6.8	9	61	0
19	Darren Waller	CAR	5.3	24.4	60	5.3	6.1	6.1	6.1	6.1	6.1	6.1	6.1	6.1	6.1	10	60	0
20	Tyler Higbee	LAR	6.8	19.8	60	6.8	6.6	6.6	bye	6.6	6.6	6.6	6.6	6.6	6.6	9	60	0
21	Kyle Pitts	ATL	7.3	19.5	59	7.3	6.5	6.5	bye	6.5	6.5	6.5	6.5	6.5	6.5	9	59	0
22	Pat Freiermuth	PIT	7.9	19.2	59	7.9	bye	6.4	6.4	6.4	6.4	6.4	6.4	6.4	6.4	9	59	0
23	Greg Dulcich	MIA	6.0	22.0	56	6.0	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	10	56	0
24	Mike Gesicki	CIN	5.8	22.0	55	5.8	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	10	55	0
25	Oronde Gadsden	LAC	4.8	22.0	54	4.8	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	10	54	0
26	Chig Okonkwo	WAS	5.5	20.8	52	5.5	5.2	5.2	5.2	5.2	5.2	5.2	5.2	5.2	5.2	10	52	0
27	Michael Mayer	LV	5.7	23.2	52	5.7	5.8	5.8	5.8	5.8	bye	5.8	5.8	5.8	5.8	9	52	0
28	AJ Barner	SEA	6.3	17.1	52	6.3	5.7	5.7	bye	5.7	5.7	5.7	5.7	5.7	5.7	9	52	0
29	Kenyon Sadiq	NYJ	5.6	22.8	51	5.6	5.7	5.7	5.7	5.7	bye	5.7	5.7	5.7	5.7	9	51	0
30	Jake Ferguson	DAL	5.8	22.4	51	5.8	5.6	5.6	5.6	5.6	5.6	bye	5.6	5.6	5.6	9	51	0
31	Charlie Kolar	LAC	4.8	19.2	48	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	10	48	0
32	Cade Otton	TB	4.5	16.2	48	4.5	5.4	bye	5.4	5.4	5.4	5.4	5.4	5.4	5.4	9	48	0
33	Colby Parkinson	LAR	5.6	14.4	44	5.6	4.8	4.8	bye	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	4.8	9	44	0
34	Will Mallory	IND	5.3	18.8	43	5.3	4.7	4.7	4.7	4.7	bye	4.7	4.7	4.7	4.7	9	43	0
35	Mason Taylor	NYJ	6.8	16.8	40	6.8	4.2	4.2	4.2	4.2	bye	4.2	4.2	4.2	4.2	9	40	0
36	Tommy Tremble	CAR	4.1	15.2	38	4.1	3.8	3.8	3.8	3.8	3.8	3.8	3.8	3.8	3.8	10	38	0
37	Gavin Bartholomew	MIN	5.0	14.8	38	5.0	3.7	3.7	3.7	3.7	3.7	3.7	3.7	3.7	3.7	10	38	0
38	Evan Engram	DEN	3.9	12.6	38	3.9	4.2	bye	4.2	4.2	4.2	4.2	4.2	4.2	4.2	9	38	0
39	Darnell Washington	PIT	5.0	12.0	37	5.0	bye	4.0	4.0	4.0	4.0	4.0	4.0	4.0	4.0	9	37	0
40	Zach Ertz	PHI	5.0	11.7	36	5.0	3.9	bye	3.9	3.9	3.9	3.9	3.9	3.9	3.9	9	36	0
41	Gunnar Helm	TEN	3.5	11.1	33	3.5	bye	3.7	3.7	3.7	3.7	3.7	3.7	3.7	3.7	9	33	0
42	Teagan Quitoriano	ARI	3.3	14.0	31	3.3	3.5	3.5	3.5	3.5	3.5	bye	3.5	3.5	3.5	9	31	0
43	Eli Raridon	NE	5.5	9.6	31	5.5	3.2	3.2	bye	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	9	31	0
44	Noah Fant	NO	bye	12.8	29	bye	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.2	9	29	0
45	Terrance FergusonInjured reserve, 4 games missed so far; eligible this week, then a long shot each week	LAR	1.115%	7.31.0 of 3 games	28	1.1	2.0	2.5	bye	2.8	3.3	3.7	4.0	4.2	4.3	3.7	28	2
46	Dawson Knox	BUF	2.6	11.2	28	2.6	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.8	10	28	0
47	Noah Gray	KC	2.5	11.2	28	2.5	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.8	10	28	0
48	Mitchell Evans	CAR	2.4	10.8	27	2.4	2.7	2.7	2.7	2.7	2.7	2.7	2.7	2.7	2.7	10	27	0
49	Theo Johnson	NYG	bye	11.6	26	bye	2.9	2.9	2.9	2.9	2.9	2.9	2.9	2.9	2.9	9	26	0
50	Jeremy Ruckert	NYJ	3.0	11.2	25	3.0	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.8	bye	2.8	2.8	2.8	2.8	9	25	0
51	David NjokuInjured reserve, 4 games missed so far; eligible this week, then a long shot each week	LAC	0.915%	8.01.4 of 4 games	25	0.9	1.5	1.9	2.1	2.5	2.8	3.1	3.2	3.3	3.9	4.3	25	0
52	Daniel Bellinger	TEN	2.8	8.1	24	2.8	bye	2.7	2.7	2.7	2.7	2.7	2.7	2.7	2.7	9	24	0
53	Elijah Higgins	ARI	3.1	10.0	23	3.1	2.5	2.5	2.5	2.5	2.5	bye	2.5	2.5	2.5	9	23	0
54	Drew Sample	CIN	2.2	9.2	23	2.2	2.3	2.3	2.3	2.3	2.3	2.3	2.3	2.3	2.3	10	23	0
55	Foster Moreau	HOU	bye	10.0	23	bye	2.5	2.5	2.5	2.5	2.5	2.5	2.5	2.5	2.5	9	23	0
56	Austin Hooper	ATL	3.8	6.9	22	3.8	2.3	2.3	bye	2.3	2.3	2.3	2.3	2.3	2.3	9	22	0
57	Davis Allen	LAR	3.4	6.9	22	3.4	2.3	2.3	bye	2.3	2.3	2.3	2.3	2.3	2.3	9	22	0
58	Nate Boerkircher	JAX	2.5	8.4	21	2.5	2.1	2.1	2.1	2.1	2.1	2.1	2.1	2.1	2.1	10	21	0
59	Nate Adkins	DEN	2.5	6.9	21	2.5	2.3	bye	2.3	2.3	2.3	2.3	2.3	2.3	2.3	9	21	0
60	Josh Cuevas	BAL	3.8	8.4	21	3.8	2.1	2.1	2.1	2.1	bye	2.1	2.1	2.1	2.1	9	21	0

How to read it

This week's column is the same projection the rankings are built on, matchup and weather in. Later weeks are the player's own rate with the week switched off, so they do not know who he plays; a week 12 number is a center, not a forecast. Who plays comes from the designation, what is hurt, and how many games he has already missed, read against every absence by a quarterback, back, receiver or tight end from 2021 to 2025 (nflverse injury reports). Out players played 0 of 1,426 times, Doubtful 1 of 231, Questionable starters 677 of 961. After a missed game the chance of playing the next one depends on the injury and how long he has been out: a hamstring comes back faster than a knee, and every week out lowers the odds. Injured reserve carries the league's own rule, four games missed before he can return; a torn ACL or Achilles is written off for the year. The row under each name says what the data did with him. At quarterback the fill-in gets exactly the weeks the starter is expected to miss. Backs and receivers keep their own current rate, which lags a little when a starter comes back. Value is the number to compare across positions: a back and a receiver with the same total are not worth the same, because the free pickup you could play instead scores differently at each spot. Subtracting that pickup's points is what makes the two comparable.

How it was tested. For every week 3 through 12 of 2024 and 2025, every player was projected with only what was known that week and checked against what he actually averaged the rest of the way. It beat a plain season-to-date average at running back, receiver and tight end in both seasons, and beat last year's numbers at every position in both. At quarterback it tied the season average in 2024 and beat it in 2025. The numbers are on the model log, and the projections get graded on the scorecard when the season ends.

How far off it runs. Over those same weeks the per-game number missed what the player actually averaged by about 3 points a game for a back, 2.7 for a receiver, 2.2 for a tight end and 4.2 for a quarterback, in half-PPR. The trade analyzer shows that miss under each player and calls a deal even when the gap is inside it. The number also spreads players out more than the season does, by about a fifth at back and receiver, so two stars a few points apart here are closer than they look.

What it can't know. The actual date a player comes back; the return odds are averages over hundreds of injuries, and his doctor knows more. Whether a role is about to change hands. Your playoff weeks. Treat the per-game number as a center, not a promise.