Fantasy Football · Week 9

The games

One card per game: when, the line and where it opened, who the books expect to win, what the weather is doing at kickoff, who is hurt, and which of our ranked players are in it. Weather is shown, not modeled: only wind moves a projection, and the lines already know the forecast.

Built Nov 9, 1:17 AM ET · lines the median of 8 sportsbooks · forecasts and alerts from the National Weather Service · refreshes with every rankings run

Other weeks: week 8 · week 7 · week 6 · week 5 · week 4 · week 3

Thu 8:15 PM ET

Jaguars at Ravens

Final: Jaguars 33, Ravens 10

Injuries, tendencies and the fantasy stakes

Jaguars

Injury report

Bhayshul Tuten RB · Questionable

How they play

Through 7 weeks: runs more than the situation asks (-3.2% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 21% of dropbacks.

Our players

Trevor Lawrence QB10 · tier 2
Bhayshul Tuten RB14 · tier 2
Parker Washington WR16 · tier 1
Brenton Strange TE16 · tier 2
Jakobi Meyers WR45 · tier 2

Ravens

Injury report

Tyler Loop K · IR

How they play

Through 8 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (-2.7% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 22% of dropbacks.

Our players

Joe Fagnano QB33 · tier 6
Derrick Henry RB18 · tier 2
Zay Flowers WR19 · tier 2
Justice Hill RB46 · tier 4
Mark Andrews TE33 · tier 3

Sun 9:30 AM ET

Bengals at Falcons

Final: Bengals 34, Falcons 17

Line: Bengals by 10.5 · opened Bengals by 3
Total: 64.5 · opened 52.5
Implied: Falcons 27 · Bengals 37.5
Win chance: Falcons 10% · Bengals 91%

Injuries, tendencies and the fantasy stakes

Bengals

Injury report

Nobody of note on the report.

How they play

Through 7 weeks: throws more than the situation asks (+6.1% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 24% of dropbacks.

Our players

Joe Burrow QB1 · tier 1
Ja'Marr Chase WR4 · tier 1
Tee Higgins WR5 · tier 1
Chase Brown RB13 · tier 2
Mike Gesicki TE21 · tier 2

Falcons

Injury report

Brian Robinson RB · Out

How they play

Through 8 weeks: runs more than the situation asks (-6.1% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 23% of dropbacks.

Our players

Michael Penix QB21 · tier 4
Bijan Robinson RB2 · tier 1
Drake London WR7 · tier 1
Kyle Pitts TE14 · tier 2
Jahan Dotson WR56 · tier 3

Sun 1:00 PM ET

Broncos at Panthers

Final: Broncos 26, Panthers 21

Line: Broncos by 2.5 · opened Broncos by 2.75
Total: 44.5 · opened 44
Implied: Panthers 21 · Broncos 23.5
Win chance: Panthers 41% · Broncos 59%

Panthers on 10 days' rest against 7.

Injuries, tendencies and the fantasy stakes

Broncos

Injury report

Pat Bryant WR · IR

How they play

Through 8 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (-0.6% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 29% of dropbacks.

Our players

Bo Nix QB15 · tier 3
Jonah Coleman RB17 · tier 2
Jaylen Waddle WR24 · tier 2
Courtland Sutton WR46 · tier 2
J.K. Dobbins RB44 · tier 4

Panthers

Injury report

Nobody of note on the report.

How they play

Through 7 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (+2.5% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 14% of dropbacks.

Our players

Bryce Young QB17 · tier 3
Chuba Hubbard RB8 · tier 2
Tetairoa McMillan WR17 · tier 1
Jalen Coker WR23 · tier 2
Darren Waller TE28 · tier 3

Sun 1:00 PM ET

Cowboys at Colts

Final: Cowboys 27, Colts 23

Line: Cowboys by 4 · opened Cowboys by 5.5
Total: 51.5
Implied: Colts 23.8 · Cowboys 27.8
Win chance: Colts 34% · Cowboys 66%

Injuries, tendencies and the fantasy stakes

Cowboys

Injury report

George Pickens WR · Questionable
Jake Ferguson TE · Questionable
Luke Schoonmaker TE · Questionable
Malik Davis RB · IR

How they play

Through 8 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (+1% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 19% of dropbacks.

Our players

Dak Prescott QB8 · tier 2
CeeDee Lamb WR3 · tier 1
Javonte Williams RB9 · tier 2
George Pickens WR13 · tier 1
Ryan Flournoy WR21 · tier 2

Colts

Injury report

Will Mallory TE · Questionable

How they play

Through 8 weeks: runs more than the situation asks (-3.6% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 19% of dropbacks.

Our players

Daniel Jones QB25 · tier 4
Jonathan Taylor RB5 · tier 2
Tyler Warren TE6 · tier 1
Keenan Allen WR32 · tier 2
Josh Downs WR37 · tier 2

Sun 1:00 PM ET

Jets at Chiefs

Final: Jets 12, Chiefs 35

Line: Chiefs by 9.5
Total: 47.5
Implied: Chiefs 28.5 · Jets 19
Win chance: Chiefs 80% · Jets 20%

Injuries, tendencies and the fantasy stakes

Jets

Injury report

Garrett Wilson WR · Out

How they play

Through 8 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (-1.8% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 22% of dropbacks.

Our players

Geno Smith QB24 · tier 4
Breece Hall RB26 · tier 3
Omar Cooper WR27 · tier 2
Adonai Mitchell WR30 · tier 2
Braelon Allen RB32 · tier 3

Chiefs

Injury report

Nobody of note on the report.

How they play

Through 7 weeks: throws more than the situation asks (+3.5% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 15% of dropbacks.

Our players

Patrick Mahomes QB3 · tier 1
Kenneth Walker RB4 · tier 1
Rashee Rice WR15 · tier 1
Travis Kelce TE7 · tier 1
Xavier Worthy WR47 · tier 3

Sun 1:00 PM ET

Lions at Dolphins

Final: Lions 19, Dolphins 9

Line: Lions by 6.5 · opened Lions by 7
Total: 50.5
Implied: Dolphins 22 · Lions 28.5
Win chance: Dolphins 27% · Lions 73%

Injuries, tendencies and the fantasy stakes

Lions

Injury report

Amon-Ra St. Brown WR · Questionable
Sione Vaki RB · Questionable
Jacob Saylors RB · Questionable

How they play

Through 7 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (-2.3% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 25% of dropbacks.

Our players

Jared Goff QB12 · tier 3
Jahmyr Gibbs RB1 · tier 1
Amon-Ra St. Brown WR6 · tier 1
Sam LaPorta TE4 · tier 1
Jameson Williams WR22 · tier 2

Dolphins

Injury report

Jaylen Wright RB · Questionable
Kaytron Allen RB · Questionable

How they play

Through 7 weeks: runs more than the situation asks (-8.5% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 18% of dropbacks.

Our players

Malik Willis QB9 · tier 2
Ollie Gordon RB22 · tier 2
Malik Washington WR35 · tier 2
Greg Dulcich TE12 · tier 2
Caleb Douglas WR40 · tier 2

Sun 1:00 PM ET

Browns at Saints

Final: Browns 22, Saints 23

Line: Saints by 3.5 · opened Saints by 3
Total: 42.5
Implied: Saints 23 · Browns 19.5
Win chance: Saints 63% · Browns 37%

Saints on 14 days' rest against 7.

Injuries, tendencies and the fantasy stakes

Browns

Injury report

Deshaun Watson QB · Questionable

How they play

Through 8 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (+0.1% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 24% of dropbacks.

Our players

Shedeur Sanders QB29 · tier 5
Deshaun Watson QB18 · tier 3
Quinshon Judkins RB21 · tier 2
Harold Fannin TE9 · tier 1
KC Concepcion WR36 · tier 2

Saints

Injury report

CJ Donaldson RB · Out
Jordyn Tyson WR · IR

How they play

Through 7 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (-0.2% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 20% of dropbacks.

Our players

Tyler Shough QB11 · tier 2
Chris Olave WR9 · tier 1
Alvin Kamara RB25 · tier 3
Devaughn Vele WR42 · tier 2
Audric Estimé RB37 · tier 3

Sun 1:00 PM ET · division game

Giants at Eagles

Final: Giants 19, Eagles 11

Line: Giants by 3
Total: 37.5 · opened 39.5
Implied: Eagles 17.3 · Giants 20.3
Win chance: Eagles 41% · Giants 59%

Giants on 14 days' rest against 7.

Injuries, tendencies and the fantasy stakes

Giants

Injury report

Cam Skattebo RB · Doubtful
Jaxson Dart QB · IR

How they play

Through 7 weeks: runs more than the situation asks (-3.8% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 14% of dropbacks.

Our players

J.J. McCarthy QB22 · tier 4
Malik Nabers WR10 · tier 1
Devin Singletary RB20 · tier 2
Isaiah Likely TE10 · tier 1
Malachi Fields WR60 · tier 3

Eagles

Injury report

Dontayvion Wicks WR · Out
DeVonta Smith WR · Out
Tanner McKee QB · Questionable

How they play

Through 8 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (-1.8% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 12% of dropbacks.

Our players

Joe Milton QB31 · tier 5
Tanner McKee QB30 · tier 5
Saquon Barkley RB27 · tier 3
Makai Lemon WR31 · tier 2
Dallas Goedert TE13 · tier 2

Sun 1:00 PM ET

Rams at Commanders

Final: Rams 20, Commanders 13

Line: Rams by 4.5 · opened Rams by 5.5
Total: 48 · opened 47.5
Implied: Commanders 21.8 · Rams 26.3
Win chance: Commanders 33% · Rams 67%

Injuries, tendencies and the fantasy stakes

Rams

Injury report

Colby Parkinson TE · Questionable
Ronnie Rivers RB · IR
Blake Grupe K · IR

How they play

Through 8 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (+0.5% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 15% of dropbacks.

Our players

Matthew Stafford QB16 · tier 3
Puka Nacua WR2 · tier 1
Kyren Williams RB11 · tier 2
Blake Corum RB28 · tier 3
Tyler Higbee TE19 · tier 2

Commanders

Injury report

Treylon Burks WR · Out

How they play

Through 7 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (-0.3% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 19% of dropbacks.

Our players

Jayden Daniels QB5 · tier 2
Stefon Diggs WR20 · tier 2
Rachaad White RB29 · tier 3
Antonio Williams WR34 · tier 2
Chig Okonkwo TE20 · tier 2

Sun 4:05 PM ET

Texans at Chargers

Final: Texans 44, Chargers 22

Line: Texans by 5.5 · opened Texans by 4.75
Total: 40.5
Implied: Chargers 17.5 · Texans 23
Win chance: Chargers 33% · Texans 67%

Texans on 14 days' rest against 7.

Injuries, tendencies and the fantasy stakes

Texans

Injury report

David Montgomery RB · Out
Graham Mertz QB · IR

How they play

Through 7 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (-0.5% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 24% of dropbacks.

Our players

C.J. Stroud QB13 · tier 3
Woody Marks RB16 · tier 2
Nico Collins WR11 · tier 1
Dalton Schultz TE18 · tier 2
Jawhar Jordan RB39 · tier 4

Chargers

Injury report

Alec Ingold RB · IR
Trey Lance QB · IR

How they play

Through 7 weeks: runs more than the situation asks (-7.1% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 22% of dropbacks.

Our players

Justin Herbert QB28 · tier 5
Ladd McConkey WR28 · tier 2
Omarion Hampton RB35 · tier 3
Quentin Johnston WR48 · tier 3
Tre Harris WR55 · tier 3

Sun 4:05 PM ET

Raiders at 49ers

Final: Raiders 17, 49ers 38

Line: 49ers by 9.5 · opened 49ers by 10
Total: 52 · opened 52.5
Implied: 49ers 30.8 · Raiders 21.3
Win chance: 49ers 80% · Raiders 20%

49ers on 14 days' rest against 7.

Injuries, tendencies and the fantasy stakes

Raiders

Injury report

Nobody of note on the report.

How they play

Through 8 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (-1.3% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 23% of dropbacks.

Our players

Kirk Cousins QB19 · tier 3
Brock Bowers TE1 · tier 1
Ashton Jeanty RB19 · tier 2
Tre Tucker WR44 · tier 2
Michael Mayer TE24 · tier 2

49ers

Injury report

Mike Evans WR · Out
Deebo Samuel WR · Out
Demarcus Robinson WR · IR

How they play

Through 7 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (+1.4% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 19% of dropbacks.

Our players

Brock Purdy QB2 · tier 1
Christian McCaffrey RB3 · tier 1
George Kittle TE2 · tier 1
Kaelon Black RB40 · tier 4
Jordan Watkins WR52 · tier 3

Sun 4:25 PM ET

Packers at Patriots

Final: Packers 45, Patriots 27

Line: Patriots by 3
Total: 44.5 · opened 47
Implied: Patriots 23.8 · Packers 20.8
Win chance: Patriots 61% · Packers 39%

Packers on 10 days' rest against 7.

Injuries, tendencies and the fantasy stakes

Packers

Injury report

MarShawn Lloyd RB · Questionable
Josh Whyle TE · Out

How they play

Through 8 weeks: throws more than the situation asks (+3.6% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 21% of dropbacks.

Our players

Jordan Love QB14 · tier 3
Josh Jacobs RB12 · tier 2
Christian Watson WR12 · tier 1
Matthew Golden WR14 · tier 1
Tucker Kraft TE8 · tier 1

Patriots

Injury report

Hunter Henry TE · Questionable
Mack Hollins WR · IR
A.J. Brown WR · Out
TreVeyon Henderson RB · Out
Reggie Gilliam RB · IR

How they play

Through 8 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (-0.5% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 24% of dropbacks.

Our players

Drake Maye QB7 · tier 2
Rhamondre Stevenson RB10 · tier 2
DeMario Douglas WR41 · tier 2
Hunter Henry TE17 · tier 2
Efton Chism WR51 · tier 3

Sun 4:25 PM ET · division game

Cardinals at Seahawks

Final: Cardinals 3, Seahawks 17

Line: Seahawks by 8.5 · opened Seahawks by 12.25
Total: 39.5 · opened 41.5
Implied: Seahawks 24 · Cardinals 15.5
Win chance: Seahawks 78% · Cardinals 23%

Injuries, tendencies and the fantasy stakes

Cardinals

Injury report

Bam Knight RB · Out

How they play

Through 8 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (-0.3% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 21% of dropbacks.

Our players

Gardner Minshew QB32 · tier 6
Jacoby Brissett QB26 · tier 4
Trey McBride TE3 · tier 1
Tyler Allgeier RB24 · tier 3
Michael Wilson WR26 · tier 2

Seahawks

Injury report

Sam Darnold QB · Out
Rashid Shaheed WR · Out
Robbie Ouzts RB · IR

How they play

Through 8 weeks: runs more than the situation asks (-4.1% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 25% of dropbacks.

Our players

Drew Lock QB23 · tier 4
Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR1 · tier 1
Jadarian Price RB30 · tier 3
Emanuel Wilson RB31 · tier 3
Zach Charbonnet RB34 · tier 3

Sun 8:20 PM ET

Buccaneers at Bears

Final: Buccaneers 24, Bears 27

Line: Bears by 6
Total: 47.5 · opened 47
Implied: Bears 26.8 · Buccaneers 20.8
Win chance: Bears 70% · Buccaneers 30%

Injuries, tendencies and the fantasy stakes

Buccaneers

Injury report

Emeka Egbuka WR · Questionable

How they play

Through 8 weeks: runs more than the situation asks (-7.1% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 18% of dropbacks.

Our players

Baker Mayfield QB20 · tier 4
Bucky Irving RB15 · tier 2
Emeka Egbuka WR25 · tier 2
Chris Godwin WR50 · tier 3
Kenny Gainwell RB43 · tier 4

Bears

Injury report

Kyle Monangai RB · Questionable

How they play

Through 8 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (0% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 24% of dropbacks.

Our players

Caleb Williams QB6 · tier 2
D'Andre Swift RB7 · tier 2
Kyle Monangai RB23 · tier 2
Luther Burden WR18 · tier 1
Colston Loveland TE5 · tier 1

Mon 8:15 PM ET

Bills at Vikings

Indoors Dome · U.S. Bank Stadium

Line: Bills by 3
Total: 44 · opened 45.5
Implied: Vikings 20.5 · Bills 23.5
Win chance: Vikings 39% · Bills 61%

Injuries, tendencies and the fantasy stakes

Bills

Injury report

Nobody of note on the report.

How they play

Through 7 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (-0.8% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 23% of dropbacks.

Our players

Josh Allen QB4 · tier 1
James Cook RB6 · tier 2
DJ Moore WR29 · tier 2
Khalil Shakir WR43 · tier 2
Dalton Kincaid TE15 · tier 2

Vikings

Injury report

Kyler Murray QB · Out
Jauan Jennings WR · Out

How they play

Through 7 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (-1.3% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 35% of dropbacks.

Our players

Carson Wentz QB27 · tier 4
Justin Jefferson WR8 · tier 1
T.J. Hockenson TE11 · tier 2
Jordan Addison WR39 · tier 2
Aaron Jones RB33 · tier 3

How to read it

The weather strip is colored so you can read it before the numbers. Grey is a roof. Green is a day nothing needs saying about. Amber is worth a look: wind of 15 mph or more, a real chance of rain, or an active advisory at the venue. Red is rough: 20 mph wind, rain more likely than not, a warning from the Weather Service, or a hard freeze. The forecast is the kickoff hour at the stadium, and the alerts are the Weather Service's own, in their words.

Only wind changes a ranking. Rain was measured over two seasons and does cost points in a real downpour, but not in a way that reorders anyone against the field, and the sportsbooks' lines the rankings lean on already carry the forecast. So the strip is a tool for you, not a thumb on the model.

The line is the middle of what several sportsbooks posted, in the home team's favor when negative; "opened" is Wednesday's first pull, so a move is news the market priced since. Win chance comes from the moneylines with the books' cut removed, the same numbers the survivor tool uses. Our players are this week's ranked players from each side with their half-PPR projection and, where the books have a full line on them, the market's number. Nothing here is betting advice.