Fantasy Football · Week 8

The games

One card per game: when, the line and where it opened, who the books expect to win, what the weather is doing at kickoff, who is hurt, and which of our ranked players are in it. Weather is shown, not modeled: only wind moves a projection, and the lines already know the forecast.

Built Oct 28, 10:18 AM ET · lines the median of 10 sportsbooks · forecasts and alerts from the National Weather Service · refreshes with every rankings run

Worth a look: Colts at Jaguars, Patriots at Dolphins.

Other weeks: week 7 · week 6 · week 5 · week 4 · week 3

Thu 8:15 PM ET

Panthers at Packers

Clear enough Wind 7 mph · 54° · 0% chance of rain at kickoff

Line: Packers by 3.5
Total: 47.5
Implied: Packers 25.5 · Panthers 22
Win chance: Packers 64% · Panthers 36%

Injuries, tendencies and the fantasy stakes

Panthers

Injury report

Nobody of note on the report.

How they play

Through 6 weeks: throws more than the situation asks (+3.1% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 17% of dropbacks.

Our players

Bryce Young QB12 · tier 3
Chuba Hubbard RB12 · tier 1
Tetairoa McMillan WR12 · tier 1
Jalen Coker WR18 · tier 2
Darren Waller TE26 · tier 2

Packers

Injury report

Matthew Golden WR · Questionable

How they play

Through 7 weeks: throws more than the situation asks (+3.3% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 19% of dropbacks.

Our players

Jordan Love QB11 · tier 3
Josh Jacobs RB14 · tier 1
Christian Watson WR10 · tier 1
Matthew Golden WR19 · tier 2
Tucker Kraft TE4 · tier 1

Sun 1:00 PM ET

Ravens at Bills

Clear enough Wind 3 mph · 62° · 7% chance of rain at kickoff

Line: Bills by 3
Total: 54
Implied: Bills 28.5 · Ravens 25.5
Win chance: Bills 62% · Ravens 38%

Bills on 14 days' rest against 7.

Injuries, tendencies and the fantasy stakes

Ravens

Injury report

Nobody of note on the report.

How they play

Through 7 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (-2.3% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 24% of dropbacks.

Our players

Lamar Jackson QB5 · tier 2
Derrick Henry RB7 · tier 1
Zay Flowers WR5 · tier 1
Mark Andrews TE17 · tier 2
Ja'Kobi Lane WR60 · tier 4

Bills

Injury report

Nobody of note on the report.

How they play

Through 6 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (-0.6% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 20% of dropbacks.

Our players

Josh Allen QB1 · tier 1
James Cook RB6 · tier 1
DJ Moore WR25 · tier 2
Dalton Kincaid TE8 · tier 1
Khalil Shakir WR35 · tier 3

Sun 1:00 PM ET

Titans at Bengals

Clear enough Wind 5 mph · 66° · 49% chance of rain at kickoff

Line: Bengals by 10.5
Total: 46.5
Implied: Bengals 28.5 · Titans 18
Win chance: Bengals 81% · Titans 19%

Injuries, tendencies and the fantasy stakes

Titans

Injury report

Nobody of note on the report.

How they play

Through 7 weeks: runs more than the situation asks (-4.5% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 20% of dropbacks.

Our players

Cam Ward QB28 · tier 6
Tony Pollard RB27 · tier 2
Carnell Tate WR26 · tier 2
Wan'Dale Robinson WR44 · tier 3
Tyjae Spears RB54 · tier 4

Bengals

Injury report

Nobody of note on the report.

How they play

Through 6 weeks: throws more than the situation asks (+5.2% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 25% of dropbacks.

Our players

Joe Burrow QB2 · tier 1
Ja'Marr Chase WR6 · tier 1
Tee Higgins WR8 · tier 1
Chase Brown RB19 · tier 2
Mike Gesicki TE22 · tier 2

Sun 1:00 PM ET

Cardinals at Cowboys

No forecast yet The National Weather Service forecast for kickoff is not out yet.

Line: Cowboys by 6.75
Total: 54.5
Implied: Cowboys 30.6 · Cardinals 23.9
Win chance: Cowboys 73% · Cardinals 27%

Injuries, tendencies and the fantasy stakes

Cardinals

Injury report

Nobody of note on the report.

How they play

Through 7 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (-0.2% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 20% of dropbacks.

Our players

Jacoby Brissett QB9 · tier 3
Trey McBride TE1 · tier 1
Michael Wilson WR16 · tier 2
Jeremiyah Love RB24 · tier 2
Tyler Allgeier RB35 · tier 3

Cowboys

Injury report

Malik Davis RB · IR

How they play

Through 7 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (+1.5% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 16% of dropbacks.

Our players

Dak Prescott QB4 · tier 2
CeeDee Lamb WR3 · tier 1
Javonte Williams RB5 · tier 1
George Pickens WR9 · tier 1
Ryan Flournoy WR43 · tier 3

Sun 1:00 PM ET · division game

Vikings at Lions

Indoors Dome · Ford Field

Line: Lions by 3.5
Total: 46
Implied: Lions 24.8 · Vikings 21.3
Win chance: Lions 61% · Vikings 39%

Injuries, tendencies and the fantasy stakes

Vikings

Injury report

Nobody of note on the report.

How they play

Through 6 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (-1.6% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 34% of dropbacks.

Our players

Kyler Murray QB13 · tier 3
Justin Jefferson WR11 · tier 1
Aaron Jones RB20 · tier 2
T.J. Hockenson TE7 · tier 1
Jordan Mason RB33 · tier 3

Lions

Injury report

Nobody of note on the report.

How they play

Through 6 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (-0.5% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 24% of dropbacks.

Our players

Jared Goff QB15 · tier 3
Jahmyr Gibbs RB1 · tier 1
Amon-Ra St. Brown WR4 · tier 1
Jameson Williams WR24 · tier 2
Sam LaPorta TE6 · tier 1

Sun 1:00 PM ET · division game

Colts at Jaguars

Worth a look Wind 15 mph · 76° · 50% chance of rain at kickoff

Line: Jaguars by 9.5
Total: 46.5
Implied: Jaguars 28 · Colts 18.5
Win chance: Jaguars 79% · Colts 21%

Jaguars on 14 days' rest against 7.

Injuries, tendencies and the fantasy stakes

Colts

Injury report

Nobody of note on the report.

How they play

Through 7 weeks: runs more than the situation asks (-3.9% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 18% of dropbacks.

Our players

Daniel Jones QB27 · tier 6
Jonathan Taylor RB10 · tier 1
Tyler Warren TE9 · tier 1
Josh Downs WR34 · tier 3
Keenan Allen WR42 · tier 3

Jaguars

Injury report

Nobody of note on the report.

How they play

Through 6 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (-1.9% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 19% of dropbacks.

Our players

Trevor Lawrence QB8 · tier 2
Bhayshul Tuten RB15 · tier 2
Parker Washington WR15 · tier 2
Brenton Strange TE12 · tier 1
Jakobi Meyers WR37 · tier 3

Sun 1:00 PM ET

Raiders at Jets

Clear enough Wind 3 mph · 63° · 1% chance of rain at kickoff

Line: Jets by 1.5
Total: 45.5
Implied: Jets 23.5 · Raiders 22
Win chance: Jets 53% · Raiders 47%

Injuries, tendencies and the fantasy stakes

Raiders

Injury report

Nobody of note on the report.

How they play

Through 7 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (-1.3% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 25% of dropbacks.

Our players

Kirk Cousins QB25 · tier 6
Brock Bowers TE2 · tier 1
Ashton Jeanty RB13 · tier 1
Tre Tucker WR28 · tier 2
Michael Mayer TE19 · tier 2

Jets

Injury report

Nobody of note on the report.

How they play

Through 7 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (-2% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 21% of dropbacks.

Our players

Geno Smith QB26 · tier 6
Breece Hall RB16 · tier 2
Braelon Allen RB17 · tier 2
Garrett Wilson WR14 · tier 2
Omar Cooper WR54 · tier 4

Sun 1:00 PM ET · division game

Browns at Steelers

Clear enough Wind 2 mph · 65° · 4% chance of rain at kickoff

Line: Steelers by 3.5
Total: 39.5
Implied: Steelers 21.5 · Browns 18
Win chance: Steelers 63% · Browns 37%

Injuries, tendencies and the fantasy stakes

Browns

Injury report

Joe Royer TE · NA

How they play

Through 7 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (-0.3% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 25% of dropbacks.

Our players

Deshaun Watson QB14 · tier 3
Quinshon Judkins RB21 · tier 2
Denzel Boston WR27 · tier 2
KC Concepcion WR31 · tier 3
Harold Fannin TE14 · tier 1

Steelers

Injury report

Nobody of note on the report.

How they play

Through 7 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (+2.8% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 21% of dropbacks.

Our players

Aaron Rodgers QB19 · tier 4
Jaylen Warren RB8 · tier 1
DK Metcalf WR22 · tier 2
Rico Dowdle RB34 · tier 3
Germie Bernard WR40 · tier 3

Sun 1:00 PM ET · division game

Falcons at Buccaneers

Clear enough Wind 10 mph · 81° · 16% chance of rain at kickoff

Line: Buccaneers by 2.5
Total: 45
Implied: Buccaneers 23.8 · Falcons 21.3
Win chance: Buccaneers 55% · Falcons 45%

Injuries, tendencies and the fantasy stakes

Falcons

Injury report

Trey Sermon RB · IR

How they play

Through 7 weeks: runs more than the situation asks (-5.1% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 22% of dropbacks.

Our players

Michael Penix QB21 · tier 5
Bijan Robinson RB2 · tier 1
Drake London WR7 · tier 1
Kyle Pitts TE13 · tier 1
Brian Robinson RB41 · tier 4

Buccaneers

Injury report

Nobody of note on the report.

How they play

Through 7 weeks: runs more than the situation asks (-3.8% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 19% of dropbacks.

Our players

Baker Mayfield QB22 · tier 5
Bucky Irving RB11 · tier 1
Emeka Egbuka WR30 · tier 3
Chris Godwin WR48 · tier 3
Kenny Gainwell RB42 · tier 4

Sun 4:05 PM ET

Chargers at Rams

Indoors Dome · SoFi Stadium

Line: Rams by 6.5
Total: 45
Implied: Rams 25.8 · Chargers 19.3
Win chance: Rams 72% · Chargers 28%

Chargers on 14 days' rest against 7.

Injuries, tendencies and the fantasy stakes

Chargers

Injury report

Alec Ingold RB · IR
Trey Lance QB · IR

How they play

Through 6 weeks: runs more than the situation asks (-7.3% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 24% of dropbacks.

Our players

Justin Herbert QB20 · tier 5
Omarion Hampton RB32 · tier 3
Tre Harris WR41 · tier 3
Quentin Johnston WR47 · tier 3
Ladd McConkey WR49 · tier 3

Rams

Injury report

Blake Grupe K · IR

How they play

Through 7 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (+0.6% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 15% of dropbacks.

Our players

Matthew Stafford QB7 · tier 2
Puka Nacua WR2 · tier 1
Kyren Williams RB4 · tier 1
Blake Corum RB31 · tier 3
Tyler Higbee TE16 · tier 2

Sun 4:25 PM ET · division game

Chiefs at Broncos

Clear enough Wind 6 mph · 60° · 13% chance of rain at kickoff

Line: Chiefs by 1
Total: 40.5
Implied: Broncos 19.8 · Chiefs 20.8
Win chance: Broncos 48% · Chiefs 52%

Injuries, tendencies and the fantasy stakes

Chiefs

Injury report

Nobody of note on the report.

How they play

Through 6 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (+2.8% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 16% of dropbacks.

Our players

Patrick Mahomes QB16 · tier 3
Kenneth Walker RB3 · tier 1
Rashee Rice WR17 · tier 2
Travis Kelce TE5 · tier 1
Xavier Worthy WR33 · tier 3

Broncos

Injury report

Nobody of note on the report.

How they play

Through 7 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (-1% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 29% of dropbacks.

Our players

Bo Nix QB17 · tier 4
Jaylen Waddle WR29 · tier 2
RJ Harvey RB29 · tier 3
Courtland Sutton WR45 · tier 3
Jonah Coleman RB40 · tier 4

Sun 4:25 PM ET · division game

Patriots at Dolphins

Worth a look Wind 10 mph · 84° · 65% chance of rain at kickoff

Line: Patriots by 7
Total: 44
Implied: Dolphins 18.5 · Patriots 25.5
Win chance: Dolphins 27% · Patriots 73%

Patriots on 10 days' rest against 7.

Injuries, tendencies and the fantasy stakes

Patriots

Injury report

Reggie Gilliam RB · IR

How they play

Through 7 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (+0.6% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 23% of dropbacks.

Our players

Drake Maye QB6 · tier 2
Rhamondre Stevenson RB18 · tier 2
A.J. Brown WR21 · tier 2
Hunter Henry TE11 · tier 1
DeMario Douglas WR55 · tier 4

Dolphins

Injury report

Nobody of note on the report.

How they play

Through 6 weeks: runs more than the situation asks (-8.8% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 17% of dropbacks.

Our players

Malik Willis QB23 · tier 5
Ollie Gordon RB22 · tier 2
Malik Washington WR39 · tier 3
Caleb Douglas WR46 · tier 3
Greg Dulcich TE18 · tier 2

Sun 8:20 PM ET · division game

Eagles at Commanders

Clear enough Wind 3 mph · 60° · 11% chance of rain at kickoff

Line: Commanders by 5.5
Total: 40
Implied: Commanders 22.8 · Eagles 17.3
Win chance: Commanders 68% · Eagles 32%

Commanders on 13 days' rest against 6.

Injuries, tendencies and the fantasy stakes

Eagles

Injury report

Nobody of note on the report.

How they play

Through 7 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (-1.6% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 11% of dropbacks.

Our players

Joe Milton QB29 · tier 6
Tanner McKee QB24 · tier 5
DeVonta Smith WR13 · tier 2
Dallas Goedert TE3 · tier 1
Saquon Barkley RB26 · tier 2

Commanders

Injury report

Nobody of note on the report.

How they play

Through 6 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (-0.8% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 17% of dropbacks.

Our players

Jayden Daniels QB3 · tier 2
Stefon Diggs WR20 · tier 2
Terry McLaurin WR32 · tier 3
Rachaad White RB30 · tier 3
Antonio Williams WR58 · tier 4

Mon 8:15 PM ET

Bears at Seahawks

Clear enough Wind 2 mph · 53° · 13% chance of rain at kickoff

Line: Seahawks by 3
Total: 46.5
Implied: Seahawks 24.8 · Bears 21.8
Win chance: Seahawks 61% · Bears 39%

Bears on 11 days' rest against 8.

Injuries, tendencies and the fantasy stakes

Bears

Injury report

Hayden Large TE · IR

How they play

Through 7 weeks: passes about as often as the situation asks (0% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 24% of dropbacks.

Our players

Caleb Williams QB10 · tier 3
D'Andre Swift RB9 · tier 1
Kyle Monangai RB23 · tier 2
Luther Burden WR23 · tier 2
Colston Loveland TE10 · tier 1

Seahawks

Injury report

Robbie Ouzts RB · IR

How they play

Through 7 weeks: runs more than the situation asks (-4.2% pass rate over expected); the defense pressures the passer on 27% of dropbacks.

Our players

Sam Darnold QB18 · tier 4
Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR1 · tier 1
Emanuel Wilson RB25 · tier 2
Zach Charbonnet RB28 · tier 3
AJ Barner TE20 · tier 2

How to read it

The weather strip is colored so you can read it before the numbers. Grey is a roof. Green is a day nothing needs saying about. Amber is worth a look: wind of 15 mph or more, a real chance of rain, or an active advisory at the venue. Red is rough: 20 mph wind, rain more likely than not, a warning from the Weather Service, or a hard freeze. The forecast is the kickoff hour at the stadium, and the alerts are the Weather Service's own, in their words.

Only wind changes a ranking. Rain was measured over two seasons and does cost points in a real downpour, but not in a way that reorders anyone against the field, and the sportsbooks' lines the rankings lean on already carry the forecast. So the strip is a tool for you, not a thumb on the model.

The line is the middle of what several sportsbooks posted, in the home team's favor when negative; "opened" is Wednesday's first pull, so a move is news the market priced since. Win chance comes from the moneylines with the books' cut removed, the same numbers the survivor tool uses. Our players are this week's ranked players from each side with their half-PPR projection and, where the books have a full line on them, the market's number. Nothing here is betting advice.